Selected outcome
October 31
<1%
October 31 · <1%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
Price
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Markets
December 31Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
4%
Open · $58k 24h · $42M vol
Bid 4.4¢ · Ask 4.5¢
- October 31
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?
<1%
Open · $57k 24h · $1.1M vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 0.5¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.