Selected outcome
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
2%
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? · 2%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
Loading price history.
Markets
Open · $6,778 24h · $263k vol
Bid 1.3¢ · Ask 2¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Mexican land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Mexico or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.