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Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

Open

Selected outcome

December 31

4%

December 31 · 4%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET

Price

December 31

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Markets

Event statistics
24h vol
$134
Volume
$14M
Liquidity
$79k
Open int.
—

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

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