Selected outcome
260M
1%
260M · 1%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 11, 2026 ET
Price
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Markets
280MWill US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026?
34%
Open · $76 24h · $25k vol
wide spread 21–51%
Bid 21¢ · Ask 51¢
270MWill US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by October 30, 2026?
2%
Open · $304 24h · $6,758 vol
Bid 0.8¢ · Ask 4¢
260MWill US crude oil reserves fall to 260M by October 30, 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $2,537 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 1.1¢
250MWill US crude oil reserves fall to 250M by October 30, 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $434 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 1¢
240MWill US crude oil reserves fall to 240M by October 30, 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $1,316 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.9¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 11, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. Energy Information Administration publishes a weekly figure for U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve less than or equal to the specified value after market creation for any week ending on or before October 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before October 30, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached. If data has not been released for the final week ending on October 30, 2026, by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W. Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.