EV market share in 2030?

Open

In Jan 2030

Selected outcome

Above 20%

63%

Above 20% · 63%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end: May 1, 2030 ET
Resolution source: Argonne National Laboratory (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

Above 30%
EV market share in 2030?
47%
Open · ~$8 24h · ~$7,065 vol
Bid 46¢ · Ask 48¢
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Above 10%
EV market share in 2030?
85%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,831 vol
Bid 84¢ · Ask 86¢
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Above 20%
EV market share in 2030?
63%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$7,803 vol
Bid 62¢ · Ask 64¢
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Above 50%
EV market share in 2030?
25%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,239 vol
Bid 24¢ · Ask 26¢
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Event statistics

24h vol: ~$8
Volume: ~$19k
Liquidity: —
Open int.: 12k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end: May 1, 2030 ET
Resolution source: Argonne National Laboratory (opens in a new tab)

Trading
Closed
In review
Resolved

Rules text

If the share of electric light-duty vehicles sold is above 20% in Jan 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

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