Selected outcome
Above .8%
9%
Above .8% · 9%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Above .7%
Will the 10-year minus 2-year Treasury spread be above .7% between Issuance and December 31, 2026?
43%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$484 vol
wide spread 22–90%
Bid 22¢ · Ask 90¢
- Above .8%
Will the 10-year minus 2-year Treasury spread be above .8% between Issuance and December 31, 2026?
9%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$191 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 13¢
- Above .9%
Will the 10-year minus 2-year Treasury spread be above .9% between Issuance and December 31, 2026?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$168 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 9¢
- Above 1.00%
Will the 10-year minus 2-year Treasury spread be above 1.00% between Issuance and December 31, 2026?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$218 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 7¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the FRED T10Y2Y series (10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity), measured in percent (not seasonally adjusted), on any daily observation dated between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026 (inclusive), is above .8%, then the market resolves to Yes.