Selected outcome
Above 50bps
28%
Above 50bps · 28%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Above 30bps
Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above 30bps?
60%
Open · ~$118 24h · ~$842 vol
Bid 55¢ · Ask 64¢
- Above -10bps
Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above -10bps?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$72 vol
last
Bid 92¢
- Above -20bps
Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above -20bps?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$255 vol
last
Bid 94¢
- Above -30bps
Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above -30bps?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$290 vol
Bid 95¢
- Above 0bps
Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above 0bps?
93%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$206 vol
Bid 88¢ · Ask 97¢
- Above 10bps
Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above 10bps?
86%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$197 vol
Bid 81¢ · Ask 90¢
- Above 20bps
Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above 20bps?
74%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$366 vol
Bid 69¢ · Ask 78¢
- Above 40bps
Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above 40bps?
42%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,008 vol
Bid 38¢ · Ask 46¢
- Above 50bps
Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above 50bps?
28%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$244 vol
Bid 23¢ · Ask 32¢
- Above 60bps
Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above 60bps?
15%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$86 vol
Bid 11¢ · Ask 19¢
- Above 70bps
Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above 70bps?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$355 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 11¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 is above 50bps, then the market resolves to Yes.