Selected outcome
5.50% or higher
3%
5.50% or higher · 3%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- U.S. Department of the Treasury (opens in a new tab)
Price
5.50% or higher
Loading price history.
Markets
- 5.50% or higher
Will the 10Y US Treasury yield hit 5.50% by Oct 31, 2026?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$431 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 5¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year generic constant-maturity tenor is at least 5.50% on any business day from October 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM EDT through October 31, 2026 at 11:59:59 PM EDT, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.