Selected outcome
5.42% or above
5.42% or above
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 30, 3:30 PM ET
- Resolution source
- U.S. Department of the Treasury (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 5.4% or above
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.39% by Oct 30, 2026?
9%
Open · ~$2 24h · ~$92 vol
last
Ask 12¢
- 5.51% or above
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.50% by Oct 30, 2026?
4%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$16 vol
last
Ask 5¢
- 5.32% or above
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.31% by Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$82 vol
wide spread 6–20%
Bid 6¢ · Ask 20¢
- 5.33% or above
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.32% by Oct 30, 2026?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$49 vol
last
Ask 18¢
- 5.34% or above
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.33% by Oct 30, 2026?
1%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$17 vol
last
Ask 19¢
- 5.35% or above
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.34% by Oct 30, 2026?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$299 vol
wide spread 1–16%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 16¢
- 5.36% or above
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.35% by Oct 30, 2026?
11%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$190 vol
last
Ask 15¢
- 5.37% or above
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.36% by Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$658 vol
Ask 15¢
- 5.38% or above
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.37% by Oct 30, 2026?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$154 vol
wide spread 4–15%
Bid 4¢ · Ask 15¢
- 5.39% or above
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.38% by Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$626 vol
Ask 13¢
- 5.41% or above
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.40% by Oct 30, 2026?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$109 vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 8¢
- 5.42% or above
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.41% by Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$86 vol
Ask 8¢
- 5.43% or above
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.42% by Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$72 vol
Ask 8¢
- 5.44% or above
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.43% by Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$59 vol
Ask 9¢
- 5.45% or above
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.44% by Oct 30, 2026?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$66 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 7¢
- 5.46% or above
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.45% by Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$66 vol
Ask 9¢
- 5.47% or above
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.46% by Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$42 vol
Ask 5¢
- 5.48% or above
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.47% by Oct 30, 2026?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$39 vol
last
Ask 6¢
- 5.49% or above
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.48% by Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$58 vol
Ask 7¢
- 5.5% or above
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.49% by Oct 30, 2026?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$94 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢
- 5.52% or above
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.51% by Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$10 vol
Ask 5¢
- 5.53% or above
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.52% by Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$14 vol
Ask 4¢
- 5.54% or above
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.53% by Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$57 vol
Ask 4¢
- 5.55% or above
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.54% by Oct 30, 2026?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$23 vol
last
Ask 3¢
- 5.56% or above
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.55% by Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$23 vol
Ask 3¢
- 5.57% or above
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.56% by Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$72 vol
Ask 2¢
- 5.58% or above
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.57% by Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$168 vol
Ask 1¢
- 5.59% or above
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.58% by Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$35 vol
Ask 1¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 30, 3:30 PM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.41% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.