Selected outcome
5.45% or above
wide spread 35–51%
5.45% or above
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- U.S. Department of the Treasury (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 5.4% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.39% by Jan 1, 2027?
No quote
Open · ~$2 24h · ~$293 vol
wide spread 37–56%
Bid 37¢ · Ask 56¢
- 5.45% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.44% by Jan 1, 2027?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$20 vol
wide spread 35–51%
Bid 35¢ · Ask 51¢
- 5.5% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.49% by Jan 1, 2027?
29%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$147 vol
wide spread 26–45%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 45¢
- 5.3% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.29% by Jan 1, 2027?
99%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$7,234 vol
last
Bid 99¢
- 5.35% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.34% by Jan 1, 2027?
58%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$972 vol
Bid 53¢ · Ask 63¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.44% on any business day between Oct 6, 2026 and Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.