Selected outcome
5.18% or above
wide spread 14–39%
5.18% or above
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 23, 3:30 PM ET
- Resolution source
- U.S. Department of the Treasury (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 5.16% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.15% by Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$78 24h · ~$78 vol
wide spread 32–50%
Bid 32¢ · Ask 50¢
- 5.17% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.16% by Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$69 24h · ~$69 vol
wide spread 24–43%
Bid 24¢ · Ask 43¢
- 5.18% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.17% by Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$40 24h · ~$40 vol
wide spread 14–39%
Bid 14¢ · Ask 39¢
- 5.11% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.10% by Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,040 vol
Bid 99¢
- 5.12% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.11% by Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 99¢
- 5.13% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.12% by Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 99¢
- 5.14% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.13% by Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 99¢
- 5.15% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.14% by Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 99¢
- 5.19% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.18% by Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 9–35%
Bid 9¢ · Ask 35¢
- 5.2% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.19% by Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 7–31%
Bid 7¢ · Ask 31¢
- 5.21% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.20% by Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 4–27%
Bid 4¢ · Ask 27¢
- 5.22% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.21% by Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 1–24%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 24¢
- 5.23% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.22% by Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 21¢
- 5.24% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.23% by Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 19¢
- 5.25% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.24% by Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 17¢
- 5.26% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.25% by Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 15¢
- 5.27% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.26% by Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 14¢
- 5.28% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.27% by Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 13¢
- 5.29% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.28% by Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 13¢
- 5.3% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.29% by Oct 23, 2026?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
last
Ask 8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 23, 3:30 PM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.17% on any business day between Oct 16, 2026 and Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.