Selected outcome
5.05% or below
63%
5.05% or below · 63%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 30, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- U.S. Department of the Treasury (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 5.06% or below
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.07% by Oct 30, 2026?
67%
Open · ~$148 24h · ~$666 vol
Bid 63¢ · Ask 70¢
- 5% or below
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.01% by Oct 30, 2026?
45%
Open · ~$70 24h · ~$361 vol
Bid 42¢ · Ask 47¢
- 5.08% or below
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.09% by Oct 30, 2026?
69%
Open · ~$61 24h · ~$1,238 vol
Bid 66¢ · Ask 71¢
- 5.05% or below
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.06% by Oct 30, 2026?
63%
Open · ~$47 24h · ~$304 vol
Bid 59¢ · Ask 66¢
- 5.01% or below
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.02% by Oct 30, 2026?
47%
Open · ~$37 24h · ~$240 vol
Bid 42¢ · Ask 52¢
- 4.99% or below
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.00% by Oct 30, 2026?
14%
Open · ~$19 24h · ~$309 vol
Bid 11¢ · Ask 18¢
- 5.04% or below
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.05% by Oct 30, 2026?
53%
Open · ~$5 24h · ~$564 vol
Bid 50¢ · Ask 56¢
- 5.02% or below
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.03% by Oct 30, 2026?
51%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$110 vol
Bid 46¢ · Ask 56¢
- 5.03% or below
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.04% by Oct 30, 2026?
51%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$110 vol
Bid 46¢ · Ask 55¢
- 5.07% or below
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.08% by Oct 30, 2026?
68%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$486 vol
Bid 63¢ · Ask 72¢
- 5.09% or below
Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.10% by Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$517 vol
Bid 99¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 30, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.06% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.