Selected outcome
Justin Bieber
8%
Justin Bieber · 8%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 21, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Billboard (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Tate McRae
Will Tate McRae have a #1 hit this year?
26%
Open · ~$142 24h · ~$1,991 vol
Bid 24¢ · Ask 27¢
- Morgan Wallen
Will Morgan Wallen have a #1 hit this year?
32%
Open · ~$17 24h · ~$4,268 vol
Bid 30¢ · Ask 33¢
- Billie Eilish
Will Billie Eilish have a #1 hit this year?
13%
Open · ~$6 24h · ~$443 vol
Bid 12¢ · Ask 13¢
- Post Malone
Will Post Malone have a #1 hit this year?
23%
Open · ~$5 24h · ~$2,417 vol
Bid 22¢ · Ask 23¢
- Chappell Roan
Will Chappell Roan have a #1 hit this year?
14%
Open · ~$2 24h · ~$1,809 vol
Bid 14¢ · Ask 15¢
- Tyler, The Creator
Will Tyler, The Creator have a #1 hit this year?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$266 vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 8¢
- Childish Gambino
Will Childish Gambino have a #1 hit this year?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
- Justin Bieber
Will Justin Bieber have a #1 hit this year?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$236 vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 11¢
- Kanye West / Ye
Will Kanye West / Ye have a #1 hit this year?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,376 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 5¢
- Kendrick Lamar
Will Kendrick Lamar have a #1 hit this year?
16%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$647 vol
Bid 15¢ · Ask 17¢
- Mariah Carey
Will Mariah Carey have a #1 hit this year?
91%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5,538 vol
Bid 90¢ · Ask 92¢
- Megan Thee Stallion
Will Megan Thee Stallion have a #1 hit this year?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$90 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 8¢
- Olivia Dean
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit this year?
14%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,093 vol
Bid 12¢ · Ask 16¢
- Pharrell Williams
Will Pharrell Williams have a #1 hit this year?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 6¢
- PinkPantheress
Will PinkPantheress have a #1 hit this year?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$88 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 5¢
- Sabrina Carpenter
Will Sabrina Carpenter have a #1 hit this year?
17%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$774 vol
Bid 15¢ · Ask 19¢
- Justin Timberlake
Will Justin Timberlake have a #1 hit this year?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢
- YoungBoy Never Broke Again
Will YoungBoy Never Broke Again have a #1 hit this year?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$10 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 21, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If Justin Bieber has a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 (including features), by the Billboard issue for the week of Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.