Selected outcome
Sam Smith
6%
Sam Smith · 6%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 29, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Billboard (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Lana Del Rey
Will Lana Del Rey have a top 20 song this year?
99%
Open · ~$146 24h · ~$7,106 vol
last
Bid 99¢
- Beyoncé
Will Beyoncé have a top 20 song this year?
40%
Open · ~$3 24h · ~$750 vol
wide spread 40–51%
Bid 40¢ · Ask 51¢
- Megan Thee Stallion
Will Megan Thee Stallion have a top 20 song this year?
No quote
Open · ~$2 24h · ~$230 vol
wide spread 24–43%
Bid 24¢ · Ask 43¢
- Billie Eilish
Will Billie Eilish have a top 20 song this year?
No quote
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$1,037 vol
wide spread 18–59%
Bid 18¢ · Ask 59¢
- Kanye West / Ye
Will Kanye West / Ye have a top 20 song this year?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$871 vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 8¢
- Clairo
Will Clairo have a top 20 song this year?
13%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$34 vol
wide spread 5–20%
Bid 5¢ · Ask 20¢
- Geese
Will Geese have a top 20 song this year?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$15 vol
wide spread 1–15%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 15¢
- Tyler, The Creator
Will Tyler, The Creator have a top 20 song this year?
28%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$215 vol
wide spread 28–52%
Bid 28¢ · Ask 52¢
- Benson Boone
Will Benson Boone have a top 20 song this year?
18%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$153 vol
wide spread 3–34%
Bid 3¢ · Ask 34¢
- Big Sean
Will Big Sean have a top 20 song this year?
12%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$24 vol
wide spread 3–17%
Bid 3¢ · Ask 17¢
- Calvin Harris
Will Calvin Harris have a top 20 song this year?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$55 vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 8¢
- Camilo
Will Camilo have a top 20 song this year?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 3–23%
Bid 3¢ · Ask 23¢
- Charlie Puth
Will Charlie Puth have a top 20 song this year?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$127 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 8¢
- Chappell Roan
Will Chappell Roan have a top 20 song this year?
98%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$9,186 vol
Bid 97¢ · Ask 98¢
- Childish Gambino
Will Childish Gambino have a top 20 song this year?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 11¢
- Coldplay
Will Coldplay have a top 20 song this year?
15%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$17 vol
wide spread 3–16%
Bid 3¢ · Ask 16¢
- Dua Lipa
Will Dua Lipa have a top 20 song this year?
15%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$98 vol
wide spread 3–50%
Bid 3¢ · Ask 50¢
- Daniel Caesar
Will Daniel Caesar have a top 20 song this year?
9%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$7 vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 12¢
- David Guetta
Will David Guetta have a top 20 song this year?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6 vol
wide spread 3–16%
Bid 3¢ · Ask 16¢
- Doechii
Will Doechii have a top 20 song this year?
30%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$452 vol
wide spread 17–64%
Bid 17¢ · Ask 64¢
- Doja Cat
Will Doja Cat have a top 20 song this year?
19%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$73 vol
wide spread 6–26%
Bid 6¢ · Ask 26¢
- Ed Sheeran
Will Ed Sheeran have a top 20 song this year?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$32 vol
wide spread 6–21%
Bid 6¢ · Ask 21¢
- Eminem
Will Eminem have a top 20 song this year?
13%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$8 vol
wide spread 7–97%
Bid 7¢ · Ask 97¢
- Fall Out Boy
Will Fall Out Boy have a top 20 song this year?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 9¢
- Frank Ocean
Will Frank Ocean have a top 20 song this year?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$20 vol
wide spread 6–17%
Bid 6¢ · Ask 17¢
- Fred again..
Will Fred again.. have a top 20 song this year?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$11 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 10¢
- Gracie Abrams
Will Gracie Abrams have a top 20 song this year?
14%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$452 vol
Bid 13¢ · Ask 16¢
- Ice Spice
Will Ice Spice have a top 20 song this year?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$12 vol
wide spread 3–16%
Bid 3¢ · Ask 16¢
- Jason Derulo
Will Jason Derulo have a top 20 song this year?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 12¢
- John Mayer
Will John Mayer have a top 20 song this year?
17%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$268 vol
Bid 12¢ · Ask 21¢
- Kali Uchis
Will Kali Uchis have a top 20 song this year?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$48 vol
wide spread 7–20%
Bid 7¢ · Ask 20¢
- Kendrick Lamar
Will Kendrick Lamar have a top 20 song this year?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$606 vol
wide spread 47–89%
Bid 47¢ · Ask 89¢
- Khalid
Will Khalid have a top 20 song this year?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 2–15%
Bid 2¢ · Ask 15¢
- The Kid LAROI
Will The Kid LAROI have a top 20 song this year?
9%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$235 vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 12¢
- Kodak Black
Will Kodak Black have a top 20 song this year?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol
wide spread 2–19%
Bid 2¢ · Ask 19¢
- Lady Gaga
Will Lady Gaga have a top 20 song this year?
19%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$269 vol
wide spread 3–19%
Bid 3¢ · Ask 19¢
- Lewis Capaldi
Will Lewis Capaldi have a top 20 song this year?
14%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$21 vol
wide spread 2–19%
Bid 2¢ · Ask 19¢
- Linkin Park
Will Linkin Park have a top 20 song this year?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
wide spread 3–16%
Bid 3¢ · Ask 16¢
- Lola Young
Will Lola Young have a top 20 song this year?
16%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$17 vol
wide spread 3–20%
Bid 3¢ · Ask 20¢
- Mariah Carey
Will Mariah Carey have a top 20 song this year?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,722 vol
Bid 94¢ · Ask 98¢
- The Marías
Will The Marías have a top 20 song this year?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$34 vol
wide spread 3–19%
Bid 3¢ · Ask 19¢
- Maroon 5
Will Maroon 5 have a top 20 song this year?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
wide spread 4–27%
Bid 4¢ · Ask 27¢
- Lil Nas X
Will Lil Nas X have a top 20 song this year?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$71 vol
wide spread 3–27%
Bid 3¢ · Ask 27¢
- Offset
Will Offset have a top 20 song this year?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 3–15%
Bid 3¢ · Ask 15¢
- Ozuna
Will Ozuna have a top 20 song this year?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
wide spread 2–14%
Bid 2¢ · Ask 14¢
- PARTYNEXTDOOR
Will PARTYNEXTDOOR have a top 20 song this year?
15%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$146 vol
wide spread 4–15%
Bid 4¢ · Ask 15¢
- Pharrell Williams
Will Pharrell Williams have a top 20 song this year?
13%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$20 vol
wide spread 3–14%
Bid 3¢ · Ask 14¢
- Post Malone
Will Post Malone have a top 20 song this year?
90%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$296 vol
Bid 85¢ · Ask 94¢
- Quavo
Will Quavo have a top 20 song this year?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$20 vol
wide spread 4–41%
Bid 4¢ · Ask 41¢
- Rihanna
Will Rihanna have a top 20 song this year?
11%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$160 vol
wide spread 8–37%
Bid 8¢ · Ask 37¢
- Roddy Ricch
Will Roddy Ricch have a top 20 song this year?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$51 vol
wide spread 4–24%
Bid 4¢ · Ask 24¢
- Rauw Alejandro
Will Rauw Alejandro have a top 20 song this year?
12%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$76 vol
wide spread 3–15%
Bid 3¢ · Ask 15¢
- Shaboozey
Will Shaboozey have a top 20 song this year?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$437 vol
wide spread 5–25%
Bid 5¢ · Ask 25¢
- Shawn Mendes
Will Shawn Mendes have a top 20 song this year?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 12¢
- Sia
Will Sia have a top 20 song this year?
14%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$8 vol
wide spread 3–14%
Bid 3¢ · Ask 14¢
- Swae Lee
Will Swae Lee have a top 20 song this year?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$101 vol
wide spread 5–21%
Bid 5¢ · Ask 21¢
- SZA
Will SZA have a top 20 song this year?
52%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,120 vol
wide spread 21–75%
Bid 21¢ · Ask 75¢
- Young Thug
Will Young Thug have a top 20 song this year?
13%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$989 vol
Bid 8¢ · Ask 17¢
- Justin Timberlake
Will Justin Timberlake have a top 20 song this year?
11%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$22 vol
wide spread 4–15%
Bid 4¢ · Ask 15¢
- Travis Scott
Will Travis Scott have a top 20 song this year?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$757 vol
wide spread 32–49%
Bid 32¢ · Ask 49¢
- Trippie Redd
Will Trippie Redd have a top 20 song this year?
12%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$89 vol
Bid 8¢ · Ask 15¢
- Tyla
Will Tyla have a top 20 song this year?
20%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$438 vol
wide spread 8–35%
Bid 8¢ · Ask 35¢
- USHER
Will USHER have a top 20 song this year?
16%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$11 vol
wide spread 3–18%
Bid 3¢ · Ask 18¢
- Lil Wayne
Will Lil Wayne have a top 20 song this year?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$11 vol
wide spread 3–16%
Bid 3¢ · Ask 16¢
- The Weeknd
Will The Weeknd have a top 20 song this year?
39%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,328 vol
wide spread 20–68%
Bid 20¢ · Ask 68¢
- YoungBoy Never Broke Again
Will YoungBoy Never Broke Again have a top 20 song this year?
9%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$294 vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 11¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 29, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If Sam Smith has a top 20 single on the Billboard Hot 100 by the Billboard issue for Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.