Selected outcome
Before Jan 1, 2027
wide spread 11–90%
Before Jan 1, 2027
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- White House (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Before Apr 1, 2027
Will the US cut the 50% aluminum tariff on Canada before Apr 1, 2027?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 2–99%
Bid 2¢ · Ask 99¢
- Before Jan 1, 2027
Will the US cut the 50% aluminum tariff on Canada before Jan 1, 2027?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 11–90%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 90¢
- Before Jul 1, 2027
Will the US cut the 50% aluminum tariff on Canada before Jul 1, 2027?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 2–99%
Bid 2¢ · Ask 99¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the President signs a proclamation or executive order, or the Department of Commerce or U.S. Customs and Border Protection publishes a Federal Register notice, that reduces the generally applicable ad valorem Section 232 duty rate on aluminum articles (as defined in Proclamation 9704, as amended) that are products of Canada below 50% after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.