Selected outcome
5.02% or above
last
22%
5.02% or above · 22%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 30, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- U.S. Department of the Treasury (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 4.93% or above
Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.92% in Oct 2026?
45%
Open · ~$180 24h · ~$415 vol
wide spread 5–62%
Bid 5¢ · Ask 62¢
- 4.94% or above
Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.93% in Oct 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$389 vol
Ask 43¢
- 4.95% or above
Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.94% in Oct 2026?
27%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$352 vol
last
Ask 38¢
- 4.96% or above
Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.95% in Oct 2026?
24%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$108 vol
last
Ask 38¢
- 4.97% or above
Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.96% in Oct 2026?
17%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$68 vol
last
Ask 36¢
- 4.98% or above
Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.97% in Oct 2026?
24%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$104 vol
last
Ask 33¢
- 4.99% or above
Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.98% in Oct 2026?
20%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$89 vol
last
Ask 31¢
- 5% or above
Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.99% in Oct 2026?
16%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$156 vol
last
Ask 24¢
- 5.01% or above
Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.00% in Oct 2026?
1%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$23 vol
last
Ask 26¢
- 5.02% or above
Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.01% in Oct 2026?
22%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$213 vol
last
Ask 26¢
- 5.03% or above
Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.02% in Oct 2026?
13%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$206 vol
last
Ask 23¢
- 5.04% or above
Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.03% in Oct 2026?
12%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$59 vol
last
Ask 22¢
- 5.05% or above
Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.04% in Oct 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$98 vol
Ask 19¢
- 5.06% or above
Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.05% in Oct 2026?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$40 vol
last
Ask 18¢
- 5.07% or above
Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.06% in Oct 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$137 vol
Ask 18¢
- 5.08% or above
Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.07% in Oct 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$143 vol
Ask 17¢
- 5.09% or above
Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.08% in Oct 2026?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$12 vol
last
Ask 17¢
- 5.1% or above
Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.09% in Oct 2026?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$14 vol
last
Ask 15¢
- 5.11% or above
Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.10% in Oct 2026?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$12 vol
last
Ask 15¢
- 5.12% or above
Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.11% in Oct 2026?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$12 vol
last
Ask 14¢
- 5.13% or above
Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.12% in Oct 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 16¢
- 5.14% or above
Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.13% in Oct 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 15¢
- 5.15% or above
Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.14% in Oct 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 12¢
- 5.16% or above
Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.15% in Oct 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$35 vol
Ask 12¢
- 5.17% or above
Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.16% in Oct 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$26 vol
Ask 12¢
- 5.18% or above
Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.17% in Oct 2026?
12%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$27 vol
last
Ask 13¢
- 5.19% or above
Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.18% in Oct 2026?
11%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$22 vol
last
Ask 11¢
- 5.2% or above
Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.19% in Oct 2026?
11%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$36 vol
last
Ask 11¢
- 5.21% or above
Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.20% in Oct 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$123 vol
Ask 6¢
- 5.22% or above
Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.21% in Oct 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$138 vol
Ask 11¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 30, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.01% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.