Selected outcome
4.65% or below
last
48%
4.65% or below · 48%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 30, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- U.S. Department of the Treasury (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 4.62% or below
Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.63% in Oct 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$103 24h · ~$768 vol
Ask 36¢
- 4.72% or below
Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.73% in Oct 2026?
60%
Open · ~$29 24h · ~$2,158 vol
wide spread 8–62%
Bid 8¢ · Ask 62¢
- 4.67% or below
Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.68% in Oct 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$21 24h · ~$426 vol
Ask 49¢
- 4.7% or below
Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.71% in Oct 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$16 24h · ~$2,075 vol
Ask 61¢
- 4.63% or below
Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.64% in Oct 2026?
24%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$267 vol
last
Ask 39¢
- 4.64% or below
Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.65% in Oct 2026?
31%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$246 vol
last
Ask 45¢
- 4.65% or below
Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.66% in Oct 2026?
48%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$323 vol
last
Ask 49¢
- 4.66% or below
Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.67% in Oct 2026?
35%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$105 vol
last
Ask 47¢
- 4.68% or below
Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.69% in Oct 2026?
34%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$106 vol
last
Ask 54¢
- 4.69% or below
Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.70% in Oct 2026?
43%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$363 vol
last
Ask 56¢
- 4.71% or below
Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.72% in Oct 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,185 vol
wide spread 13–64%
Bid 13¢ · Ask 64¢
- 4.73% or below
Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.74% in Oct 2026?
93%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$961 vol
last
Bid 49¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 30, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.66% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.