Selected outcome
Above 4.81%
6%
Above 4.81% · 6%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 1:59 PM ET
- Resolution source
- Pyth - 2Y UST (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Above 4.83%
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.83% on Oct 21 at 2:00pm ET?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 8¢
- Above 4.84%
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.84% on Oct 21 at 2:00pm ET?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 7¢
- Above 4.68%
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.68% on Oct 21 at 2:00pm ET?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 99¢
- Above 4.69%
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.69% on Oct 21 at 2:00pm ET?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 99¢
- Above 4.70%
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.70% on Oct 21 at 2:00pm ET?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 99¢
- Above 4.71%
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.71% on Oct 21 at 2:00pm ET?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 98¢
- Above 4.72%
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.72% on Oct 21 at 2:00pm ET?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 99¢
- Above 4.73%
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.73% on Oct 21 at 2:00pm ET?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 93¢
- Above 4.74%
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.74% on Oct 21 at 2:00pm ET?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 93¢
- Above 4.75%
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.75% on Oct 21 at 2:00pm ET?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 92¢
- Above 4.76%
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.76% on Oct 21 at 2:00pm ET?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 92¢ · Ask 99¢
- Above 4.77%
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.77% on Oct 21 at 2:00pm ET?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 84–98%
Bid 84¢ · Ask 98¢
- Above 4.78%
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.78% on Oct 21 at 2:00pm ET?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 62–85%
Bid 62¢ · Ask 85¢
- Above 4.79%
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.79% on Oct 21 at 2:00pm ET?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 29–44%
Bid 29¢ · Ask 44¢
- Above 4.80%
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.80% on Oct 21 at 2:00pm ET?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 6–21%
Bid 6¢ · Ask 21¢
- Above 4.81%
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.81% on Oct 21 at 2:00pm ET?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 10¢
- Above 4.82%
Will the Pyth 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.82% on Oct 21 at 2:00pm ET?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 7¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 1:59 PM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.81% at Oct 21, 2026 at 2:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.