Selected outcome
5.75% or above
5.75% or above
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- U.S. Department of the Treasury (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 5.75% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.74% by Jan 1, 2027?
No quote
Open · ~$143 24h · ~$1,011 vol
Ask 50¢
- 5.7% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.69% by Jan 1, 2027?
No quote
Open · ~$10 24h · ~$921 vol
wide spread 39–56%
Bid 39¢ · Ask 56¢
- 5.8% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.79% by Jan 1, 2027?
32%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$442 vol
wide spread 12–43%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 43¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the daily published par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.74% on any business day between Sep 30, 2026 and Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.