Selected outcome
5.38% or below
wide spread 12–82%
41%
5.38% or below · 41%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 30, 3:30 PM ET
- Resolution source
- U.S. Department of the Treasury (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 5.34% or below
Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.35% by Oct 30, 2026?
45%
Open · ~$153 24h · ~$619 vol
wide spread 25–49%
Bid 25¢ · Ask 49¢
- 5.41% or below
Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.42% by Oct 30, 2026?
56%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$417 vol
wide spread 26–99%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 99¢
- 5.35% or below
Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.36% by Oct 30, 2026?
35%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$112 vol
wide spread 26–71%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 71¢
- 5.36% or below
Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.37% by Oct 30, 2026?
55%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$116 vol
wide spread 23–76%
Bid 23¢ · Ask 76¢
- 5.37% or below
Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.38% by Oct 30, 2026?
35%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$132 vol
wide spread 28–78%
Bid 28¢ · Ask 78¢
- 5.38% or below
Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.39% by Oct 30, 2026?
41%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$565 vol
wide spread 12–82%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 82¢
- 5.39% or below
Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.40% by Oct 30, 2026?
73%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$724 vol
wide spread 45–86%
Bid 45¢ · Ask 86¢
- 5.4% or below
Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.41% by Oct 30, 2026?
65%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$338 vol
wide spread 16–94%
Bid 16¢ · Ask 94¢
- 5.42% or below
Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.43% by Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$612 vol
Bid 99¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 30, 3:30 PM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the daily published par yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.39% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.