Selected outcome
5.2% or above
5.2% or above
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 30, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- U.S. Department of the Treasury (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 5.29% or above
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.28% in Oct 2026?
10%
Open · ~$10 24h · ~$10 vol
last
Ask 14¢
- 5.07% or above
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.06% in Oct 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,200 vol
Ask 43¢
- 5.08% or above
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.07% in Oct 2026?
34%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,428 vol
last
Ask 45¢
- 5.09% or above
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.08% in Oct 2026?
18%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$299 vol
last
Ask 43¢
- 5.1% or above
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.09% in Oct 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,774 vol
Ask 41¢
- 5.11% or above
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.10% in Oct 2026?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$147 vol
last
Ask 37¢
- 5.12% or above
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.11% in Oct 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,020 vol
Ask 31¢
- 5.13% or above
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.12% in Oct 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$282 vol
Ask 29¢
- 5.14% or above
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.13% in Oct 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$168 vol
Ask 28¢
- 5.15% or above
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.14% in Oct 2026?
13%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$246 vol
last
Ask 27¢
- 5.16% or above
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.15% in Oct 2026?
23%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$111 vol
last
Ask 25¢
- 5.17% or above
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.16% in Oct 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$63 vol
Ask 23¢
- 5.18% or above
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.17% in Oct 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$114 vol
Ask 21¢
- 5.19% or above
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.18% in Oct 2026?
1%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
last
Ask 22¢
- 5.2% or above
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.19% in Oct 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$120 vol
Ask 17¢
- 5.21% or above
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.20% in Oct 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$260 vol
Ask 15¢
- 5.22% or above
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.21% in Oct 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$194 vol
Ask 14¢
- 5.23% or above
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.22% in Oct 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$129 vol
Ask 14¢
- 5.24% or above
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.23% in Oct 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$129 vol
Ask 14¢
- 5.25% or above
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.24% in Oct 2026?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$8 vol
last
Ask 14¢
- 5.26% or above
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.25% in Oct 2026?
1%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol
last
Ask 14¢
- 5.27% or above
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.26% in Oct 2026?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
last
Ask 15¢
- 5.28% or above
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.27% in Oct 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 14¢
- 5.3% or above
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.29% in Oct 2026?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$28 vol
last
Ask 11¢
- 5.31% or above
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.30% in Oct 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 13¢
- 5.32% or above
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.31% in Oct 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 13¢
- 5.33% or above
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.32% in Oct 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$16 vol
Ask 8¢
- 5.34% or above
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.33% in Oct 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$260 vol
Ask 12¢
- 5.35% or above
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.34% in Oct 2026?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$38 vol
last
Ask 5¢
- 5.36% or above
Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.35% in Oct 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$324 vol
Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 30, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.19% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.