Selected outcome
4.96% or below
last
41%
4.96% or below · 41%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 30, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- U.S. Department of the Treasury (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 4.85% or below
Will the 7-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.86% in Oct 2026?
34%
Open · ~$39 24h · ~$902 vol
wide spread 10–36%
Bid 10¢ · Ask 36¢
- 4.97% or below
Will the 7-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.98% in Oct 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$6 24h · ~$466 vol
wide spread 44–69%
Bid 44¢ · Ask 69¢
- 4.89% or below
Will the 7-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.90% in Oct 2026?
22%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$417 vol
wide spread 17–44%
Bid 17¢ · Ask 44¢
- 4.86% or below
Will the 7-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.87% in Oct 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$203 vol
wide spread 10–38%
Bid 10¢ · Ask 38¢
- 4.87% or below
Will the 7-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.88% in Oct 2026?
13%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$269 vol
wide spread 12–39%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 39¢
- 4.88% or below
Will the 7-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.89% in Oct 2026?
16%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$319 vol
wide spread 15–43%
Bid 15¢ · Ask 43¢
- 4.9% or below
Will the 7-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.91% in Oct 2026?
19%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$382 vol
wide spread 18–46%
Bid 18¢ · Ask 46¢
- 4.91% or below
Will the 7-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.92% in Oct 2026?
22%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$420 vol
wide spread 21–50%
Bid 21¢ · Ask 50¢
- 4.92% or below
Will the 7-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.93% in Oct 2026?
28%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$190 vol
wide spread 25–52%
Bid 25¢ · Ask 52¢
- 4.93% or below
Will the 7-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.94% in Oct 2026?
30%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$201 vol
wide spread 28–57%
Bid 28¢ · Ask 57¢
- 4.94% or below
Will the 7-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.95% in Oct 2026?
34%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$234 vol
wide spread 32–57%
Bid 32¢ · Ask 57¢
- 4.95% or below
Will the 7-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.96% in Oct 2026?
36%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$237 vol
last
Ask 62¢
- 4.96% or below
Will the 7-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.97% in Oct 2026?
41%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$266 vol
last
Ask 65¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 30, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the daily published par yield for the 7-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.97% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.