Selected outcome
Above 30%
12%
Above 30% · 12%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jul 1, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Above 17%
Will the percent decline in CMS-reported nationwide ACA Marketplace effectuated enrollment be above 17 from February 2026 to February 2027?
48%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 44¢ · Ask 51¢
- Above 10%
Will the percent decline in CMS-reported nationwide ACA Marketplace effectuated enrollment be above 10 from February 2026 to February 2027?
86%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$564 vol
Bid 83¢ · Ask 89¢
- Above 15%
Will the percent decline in CMS-reported nationwide ACA Marketplace effectuated enrollment be above 15 from February 2026 to February 2027?
64%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$181 vol
Bid 60¢ · Ask 67¢
- Above 20%
Will the percent decline in CMS-reported nationwide ACA Marketplace effectuated enrollment be above 20 from February 2026 to February 2027?
34%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$184 vol
Bid 30¢ · Ask 37¢
- Above 25%
Will the percent decline in CMS-reported nationwide ACA Marketplace effectuated enrollment be above 25 from February 2026 to February 2027?
22%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$9 vol
Bid 18¢ · Ask 25¢
- Above 30%
Will the percent decline in CMS-reported nationwide ACA Marketplace effectuated enrollment be above 30 from February 2026 to February 2027?
12%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
Bid 8¢ · Ask 15¢
- Above 5%
Will the percent decline in CMS-reported nationwide ACA Marketplace effectuated enrollment be above 5 from February 2026 to February 2027?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$17 vol
Bid 93¢ · Ask 99¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Jul 1, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the percent decline in CMS-reported nationwide ACA Marketplace effectuated enrollment is above 30% from February 2026 to February 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.