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AfD in a German state government?

Open

Before Jan 1, 2030

Selected outcome

Before Jul 1, 2027

66%

Before Jul 1, 2027 · 66%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
Resolution source
The New York Times (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Before Jul 1, 2027

    Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Alternative fuer Deutschland has entered a German state government before Jul 1, 2027?

    66%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 61¢ · Ask 70¢

    Open full market view →
  • Before Jan 1, 2028

    Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Alternative fuer Deutschland has entered a German state government before Jan 1, 2028?

    79%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 74¢ · Ask 83¢

    Open full market view →
  • Before Jan 1, 2029

    Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Alternative fuer Deutschland has entered a German state government before Jan 1, 2029?

    91%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 86¢ · Ask 95¢

    Open full market view →
  • Before Jan 1, 2030

    Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Alternative fuer Deutschland has entered a German state government before Jan 1, 2030?

    95%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 91¢ · Ask 99¢

    Open full market view →
  • Before Jan 1, 2027

    Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Alternative fuer Deutschland has entered a German state government before Jan 1, 2027?

    44%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,523 vol

    Bid 43¢ · Ask 44¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$2,523
Liquidity
—
Open int.
2,064 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the Alternative fuer Deutschland has entered a German state government after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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