Selected outcome
Taye Atske Selassie
2%
Taye Atske Selassie · 2%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2035 ET
- Resolution source
- The New York Times (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Bola Tinubu
Will Bola Tinubu leave office next in this set?
19%
Open · ~$3 24h · ~$530 vol
wide spread 6–20%
Bid 6¢ · Ask 20¢
- Cyril Ramaphosa
Will Cyril Ramaphosa leave office next in this set?
15%
Open · ~$2 24h · ~$354 vol
Bid 12¢ · Ask 18¢
- Abdel Fattah el-Sisi
Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi leave office next in this set?
5%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$92 vol
Bid 2.5¢ · Ask 8.3¢
- William Ruto
Will William Ruto leave office next in this set?
6%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$174 vol
Bid 3.2¢ · Ask 7.8¢
- Abdelmadjid Tebboune
Will Abdelmadjid Tebboune leave office next in this set?
5%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$24 vol
Bid 2.5¢ · Ask 6.8¢
- Félix Tshisekedi
Will Félix Tshisekedi leave office next in this set?
4%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$630 vol
Bid 2.6¢ · Ask 5.8¢
- John Mahama
Will John Mahama leave office next in this set?
5%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$15 vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 5.8¢
- Paul Kagame
Will Paul Kagame leave office next in this set?
3%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$92 vol
Bid 0.8¢ · Ask 4.8¢
- Taye Atske Selassie
Will Taye Atske Selassie leave office next in this set?
2%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$51 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 4.8¢
- Emmerson Mnangagwa
Will Emmerson Mnangagwa leave office next in this set?
1%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$45 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 2¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2035 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the President of Ethiopia is the first leader among the above to leave office, then the market resolves to Yes.