Selected outcome
Before Apr 1, 2028
56%
Before Apr 1, 2028 · 56%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- The Washington Post (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Before Jan 1, 2028
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jan 1, 2028?
44%
Open · ~$743 24h · ~$11k vol
Bid 40¢ · Ask 47¢
- Before Apr 1, 2028
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Apr 1, 2028?
56%
Open · ~$28 24h · ~$5,497 vol
Bid 55¢ · Ask 58¢
- Before Oct 1, 2027
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Oct 1, 2027?
42%
Open · ~$12 24h · ~$14k vol
Bid 41¢ · Ask 42¢
- Before Jul 1, 2027
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jul 1, 2027?
28%
Open · ~$8 24h · ~$9,392 vol
Bid 28¢ · Ask 29¢
- Before Apr 1, 2027
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Apr 1, 2027?
19%
Open · ~$2 24h · ~$4,397 vol
Bid 18¢ · Ask 19¢
- Before Jan 1, 2027
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jan 1, 2027?
9%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$4,075 vol
Bid 7¢ · Ask 10¢
- Before Jul 1, 2028
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jul 1, 2028?
74%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3,687 vol
Bid 73¢ · Ask 74¢
- Before Oct 1, 2028
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Oct 1, 2028?
75%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3,609 vol
Bid 74¢ · Ask 75¢
- Before Jan 1, 2029
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jan 1, 2029?
77%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3,148 vol
Bid 76¢ · Ask 77¢
- Before Jan 1, 2030
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jan 1, 2030?
82%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3,609 vol
Bid 81¢ · Ask 82¢
- Before Jan 1, 2031
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jan 1, 2031?
78%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$7,098 vol
Bid 77¢ · Ask 78¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved