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When will any company achieve AGI?

Open

Corporate announcement

Selected outcome

Before Apr 1, 2028

56%

Before Apr 1, 2028 · 56%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
Resolution source
The Washington Post (opens in a new tab)

Price

Loading price history.

Markets

  • Before Jan 1, 2028

    Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jan 1, 2028?

    44%

    Open · ~$743 24h · ~$11k vol

    Bid 40¢ · Ask 47¢

    Open full market view →
  • Before Apr 1, 2028

    Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Apr 1, 2028?

    56%

    Open · ~$28 24h · ~$5,497 vol

    Bid 55¢ · Ask 58¢

    Open full market view →
  • Before Oct 1, 2027

    Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Oct 1, 2027?

    42%

    Open · ~$12 24h · ~$14k vol

    Bid 41¢ · Ask 42¢

    Open full market view →
  • Before Jul 1, 2027

    Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jul 1, 2027?

    28%

    Open · ~$8 24h · ~$9,392 vol

    Bid 28¢ · Ask 29¢

    Open full market view →
  • Before Apr 1, 2027

    Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Apr 1, 2027?

    19%

    Open · ~$2 24h · ~$4,397 vol

    Bid 18¢ · Ask 19¢

    Open full market view →
  • Before Jan 1, 2027

    Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jan 1, 2027?

    9%

    Open · ~$1 24h · ~$4,075 vol

    Bid 7¢ · Ask 10¢

    Open full market view →
  • Before Jul 1, 2028

    Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jul 1, 2028?

    74%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3,687 vol

    Bid 73¢ · Ask 74¢

    Open full market view →
  • Before Oct 1, 2028

    Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Oct 1, 2028?

    75%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3,609 vol

    Bid 74¢ · Ask 75¢

    Open full market view →
  • Before Jan 1, 2029

    Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jan 1, 2029?

    77%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3,148 vol

    Bid 76¢ · Ask 77¢

    Open full market view →
  • Before Jan 1, 2030

    Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jan 1, 2030?

    82%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3,609 vol

    Bid 81¢ · Ask 82¢

    Open full market view →
  • Before Jan 1, 2031

    Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jan 1, 2031?

    78%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$7,098 vol

    Bid 77¢ · Ask 78¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$792
Volume
~$69k
Liquidity
—
Open int.
94k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved

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