Selected outcome
Before Jan 1, 2030
82%
Before Jan 1, 2030 · 82%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- The Washington Post (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Before Jan 1, 2028
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jan 1, 2028?
44%
Open · ~$743 24h · ~$11k vol
Bid 40¢ · Ask 47¢
- Before Apr 1, 2028
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Apr 1, 2028?
56%
Open · ~$28 24h · ~$5,497 vol
Bid 55¢ · Ask 58¢
- Before Oct 1, 2027
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Oct 1, 2027?
42%
Open · ~$12 24h · ~$14k vol
Bid 41¢ · Ask 42¢
- Before Jul 1, 2027
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jul 1, 2027?
28%
Open · ~$8 24h · ~$9,392 vol
Bid 28¢ · Ask 29¢
- Before Apr 1, 2027
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Apr 1, 2027?
19%
Open · ~$2 24h · ~$4,397 vol
Bid 18¢ · Ask 19¢
- Before Jan 1, 2027
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jan 1, 2027?
9%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$4,075 vol
Bid 7¢ · Ask 10¢
- Before Jul 1, 2028
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jul 1, 2028?
74%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3,687 vol
Bid 73¢ · Ask 74¢
- Before Oct 1, 2028
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Oct 1, 2028?
75%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3,609 vol
Bid 74¢ · Ask 75¢
- Before Jan 1, 2029
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jan 1, 2029?
77%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3,148 vol
Bid 76¢ · Ask 77¢
- Before Jan 1, 2030
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jan 1, 2030?
82%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3,609 vol
Bid 81¢ · Ask 82¢
- Before Jan 1, 2031
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jan 1, 2031?
78%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$7,098 vol
Bid 77¢ · Ask 78¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.