Selected outcome
Above 0.5%
31%
Above 0.5% · 31%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 6, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Bureau of Labor Statistics (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Above -0.1%
Will U.S. average hourly earnings growth for October 2026 be above -0.1%?
90%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 85¢ · Ask 95¢
- Above 0.0%
Will U.S. average hourly earnings growth for October 2026 be above 0.0%?
80%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$12 vol
Bid 75¢ · Ask 84¢
- Above 0.1%
Will U.S. average hourly earnings growth for October 2026 be above 0.1%?
70%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 65¢ · Ask 75¢
- Above 0.2%
Will U.S. average hourly earnings growth for October 2026 be above 0.2%?
60%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 55¢ · Ask 65¢
- Above 0.3%
Will U.S. average hourly earnings growth for October 2026 be above 0.3%?
50%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6 vol
Bid 45¢ · Ask 55¢
- Above 0.4%
Will U.S. average hourly earnings growth for October 2026 be above 0.4%?
41%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol
Bid 36¢ · Ask 45¢
- Above 0.5%
Will U.S. average hourly earnings growth for October 2026 be above 0.5%?
31%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol
Bid 26¢ · Ask 35¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 6, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the U.S. average hourly earnings growth for October 2026, measured as the seasonally adjusted month-over-month percentage change for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls, is above 0.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.