← Kalshi

MacAskill–Moll AI growth challenge · Who will win?

Openone winner

Q3 2026 through Q4 2033

Selected outcome

Below 15%

75%

Below 15% · 75%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Jan 26, 2034 ET
Resolution source
Bureau of Economic Analysis (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Below 15%

    Will maximum peak-relative growth in U.S. real GDP per capita for Q3 2026 through Q4 2033 be below 15%?

    75%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol

    Bid 70¢ · Ask 80¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 15%

    Will maximum peak-relative growth in U.S. real GDP per capita for Q3 2026 through Q4 2033 be at least 15%?

    25%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$35 vol

    Bid 20¢ · Ask 30¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$39
Liquidity
—
Open int.
71 contracts

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end
Jan 26, 2034 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved

View on Kalshi