Selected outcome
Moonshot AI
10%
Moonshot AI · 10%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Artificial Analysis (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Xiaomi
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?
57%
Open · ~$31 24h · ~$469 vol
Bid 53¢ · Ask 62¢
- Alibaba
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?
17%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$245 vol
Bid 13¢ · Ask 21¢
- Anthropic
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?
81%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 78¢ · Ask 84¢
- DeepSeek
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?
15%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$29 vol
Bid 11¢ · Ask 19¢
- Google
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?
55%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$16 vol
Bid 50¢ · Ask 59¢
- IBM
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$114 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 3¢
- InclusionAI
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 9¢
- Meta
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?
20%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 16¢ · Ask 24¢
- MiniMax
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 12¢
- Mistral
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 12¢
- Moonshot AI
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 14¢
- NVIDIA
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 11¢
- OpenAI
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?
83%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$850 vol
Bid 79¢ · Ask 87¢
- StepFun
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 12¢
- Tencent
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?
15%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 11¢ · Ask 19¢
- Thinking Machines
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 11¢
- xAI
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?
17%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 12¢ · Ask 21¢
- Z AI
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?
27%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 22¢ · Ask 31¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If Moonshot AI (listed by Artificial Analysis as Kimi) has a model on the Pareto frontier of Artificial Analysis's Intelligence Index vs. Cost per Intelligence Index Task chart on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.