← Kalshi

AI capability growth this year?

Open

Before 2027

Selected outcome

At least 1750 score

2%

At least 1750 score · 2%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Jan 1, 2027 ET
Resolution source
LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control) (opens in a new tab)

Price

Loading price history.

Markets

Event statistics
24h vol
~$1,968
Volume
~$29k
Liquidity
—
Open int.
39k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Jan 1, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If an AI model has a score of at least 1750 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.

View on Kalshi