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Alaska Senate election margin of victory

Openone winner

On Nov 3, 2026

Selected outcome

Mary Peltola, 6-9%

15%

Mary Peltola, 6-9% · 15%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Jun 2, 2027 ET
Resolution source
State of Alaska (opens in a new tab)

Price

Loading price history.

Markets

  • Mary Peltola, 3-6%

    Will the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be between 3% and 6%?

    25%

    Open · ~$553 24h · ~$2,499 vol

    Bid 24¢ · Ask 25¢

    Open full market view →
  • Dan Sullivan, 3-6%

    Will the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be between 3% and 6%?

    8%

    Open · ~$9 24h · ~$311 vol

    Bid 5¢ · Ask 10¢

    Open full market view →
  • Mary Peltola, 0-3%

    Will the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be between 0% and 3%?

    25%

    Open · ~$1 24h · ~$2,421 vol

    Bid 24¢ · Ask 25¢

    Open full market view →
  • Mary Peltola, 6-9%

    Will the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be between 6% and 9%?

    15%

    Open · ~$1 24h · ~$829 vol

    Bid 13¢ · Ask 17¢

    Open full market view →
  • Dan Sullivan, 0-3%

    Will the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be between 0% and 3%?

    24%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5,144 vol

    Bid 23¢ · Ask 24¢

    Open full market view →
  • Dan Sullivan, 9-12%

    Will the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be between 9% and 12%?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$295 vol

    Ask 2¢

    Open full market view →
  • Dan Sullivan, ≥12%

    Will the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be above 12%?

    1%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$55 vol

    last

    Ask 1¢

    Open full market view →
  • Dan Sullivan, 6-9%

    Will the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be between 6% and 9%?

    6%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$392 vol

    last

    Ask 6¢

    Open full market view →
  • Mary Peltola, 9-12%

    Will the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be between 9% and 12%?

    5%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$220 vol

    Bid 2¢ · Ask 7¢

    Open full market view →
  • Mary Peltola, ≥12%

    Will the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be above 12%?

    3%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$258 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 4¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$565
Volume
~$12k
Liquidity
—
Open int.
30k contracts

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end
Jun 2, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the margin of victory for Mary Peltola in the 2026 Alaska Senate election falls within 6% to 9%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

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