Selected outcome
AGI
wide spread 48–63%
58%
AGI · 58%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 2, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- ABC (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Hugging Face
What will Sam Altman say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026?
56%
Open · ~$6 24h · ~$123 vol
wide spread 47–61%
Bid 47¢ · Ask 61¢
- AGI
What will Sam Altman say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026?
58%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$77 vol
wide spread 48–63%
Bid 48¢ · Ask 63¢
- Anthropic / Claude
What will Sam Altman say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026?
24%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 19¢ · Ask 28¢
- Astra
What will Sam Altman say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 62–73%
Bid 62¢ · Ask 73¢
- China / Chinese
What will Sam Altman say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 52–63%
Bid 52¢ · Ask 63¢
- Compute
What will Sam Altman say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 57–68%
Bid 57¢ · Ask 68¢
- Data Center
What will Sam Altman say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$55 vol
wide spread 27–38%
Bid 27¢ · Ask 38¢
- Elon / Grok
What will Sam Altman say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026?
33%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$22 vol
wide spread 25–37%
Bid 25¢ · Ask 37¢
- Google / Gemini
What will Sam Altman say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026?
24%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 19¢ · Ask 28¢
- IP / Intellectual Property
What will Sam Altman say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 32–43%
Bid 32¢ · Ask 43¢
- Event does not qualify
What will Sam Altman say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 10¢
- Nuclear
What will Sam Altman say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 13–25%
Bid 13¢ · Ask 25¢
- Nvidia
What will Sam Altman say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 27–38%
Bid 27¢ · Ask 38¢
- Open Source
What will Sam Altman say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 22–33%
Bid 22¢ · Ask 33¢
- Privacy
What will Sam Altman say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 37–48%
Bid 37¢ · Ask 48¢
- Regulation / Regulate / Regulatory
What will Sam Altman say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 57–68%
Bid 57¢ · Ask 68¢
- Safe / Safer / Safety
What will Sam Altman say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 75–86%
Bid 75¢ · Ask 86¢
- Valuation / IPO
What will Sam Altman say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$45 vol
wide spread 31–42%
Bid 31¢ · Ask 42¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 2, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If Sam Altman says AGI as part of 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.