Selected outcome
Before Jan 1, 2028
15%
Before Jan 1, 2028 · 15%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- The New York Times (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Before Jan 20, 2029
Will the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency?
21%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$38k vol
Bid 20¢ · Ask 21¢
- Before Jan 1, 2028
Will the 25th Amendment be used before Jan 1, 2028?
15%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$11 vol
Bid 13¢ · Ask 17¢
- Before Jan 1, 2027
Will the 25th Amendment be used before Jan 1, 2027?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$116 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If, as part of Section IV of the 25th Amendment, the Vice President (and a majority of the Cabinet or some other body designated by Congress) transmit to Congress a written declaration that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office before January 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.