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Will the US government rescind the Anthropic ban?

Open

Before Apr 1, 2027

Selected outcome

Before Jan 1, 2027

38%

Before Jan 1, 2027 · 38%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
Resolution source
White House (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Before Apr 1, 2027

    Will the Department of Defense or the White House announce an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation or phaseout directive applicable to Anthropic, so as to permit federal government or Department of Defense use of Anthropic's AI models or services before Apr 1, 2027?

    41%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 37¢ · Ask 44¢

    Open full market view →
  • Before Jan 1, 2027

    Will the Department of Defense or the White House announce an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation or phaseout directive applicable to Anthropic, so as to permit federal government or Department of Defense use of Anthropic's AI models or services before Jan 1, 2027?

    38%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,174 vol

    Bid 35¢ · Ask 41¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$1,174
Liquidity
—
Open int.
820 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the Department of Defense or the White House announces an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation or phaseout directive applicable to Anthropic, so as to permit federal government or Department of Defense use of Anthropic's AI models or services before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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