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Will Claude be permitted for use in the Department of War supply chain?

Open

Before Jan 1, 2028

Selected outcome

Before Jul 1, 2027

42%

Before Jul 1, 2027 · 42%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
Resolution source
Department of War (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Before Apr 1, 2027

    Will the Department of War or the White House announce an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation applicable to Anthropic, so as to permit the Department of War or its contractors to use Anthropic's AI models or services before Apr 1, 2027?

    30%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$722 vol

    Bid 26¢ · Ask 34¢

    Open full market view →
  • Before Jan 1, 2027

    Will the Department of War or the White House announce an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation applicable to Anthropic, so as to permit the Department of War or its contractors to use Anthropic's AI models or services before Jan 1, 2027?

    13%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$490 vol

    Bid 11¢ · Ask 14¢

    Open full market view →
  • Before Jul 1, 2027

    Will the Department of War or the White House announce an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation applicable to Anthropic, so as to permit the Department of War or its contractors to use Anthropic's AI models or services before Jul 1, 2027?

    42%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$11 vol

    Bid 38¢ · Ask 46¢

    Open full market view →
  • Before Jan 1, 2028

    Will the Department of War or the White House announce an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation applicable to Anthropic, so as to permit the Department of War or its contractors to use Anthropic's AI models or services before Jan 1, 2028?

    56%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 52¢ · Ask 60¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$1,223
Liquidity
—
Open int.
1,356 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the Department of War or the White House announces an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation applicable to Anthropic, so as to permit the Department of War or its contractors to use Anthropic's AI models or services before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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