Selected outcome
At least 2000
97%
At least 2000 · 97%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2029 ET
- Resolution source
- CDC (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 3000
What will the average number of measles cases be during the Trump Administration?
82%
Open · ~$2 24h · ~$2,337 vol
Bid 81¢ · Ask 83¢
- At least 4500
What will the average number of measles cases be during the Trump Administration?
55%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$813 vol
Bid 51¢ · Ask 58¢
- At least 3500
What will the average number of measles cases be during the Trump Administration?
76%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$745 vol
Bid 73¢ · Ask 79¢
- At least 5000
What will the average number of measles cases be during the Trump Administration?
47%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$22k vol
Bid 44¢ · Ask 49¢
- At least 2500
What will the average number of measles cases be during the Trump Administration?
90%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,977 vol
Bid 89¢ · Ask 91¢
- At least 4000
What will the average number of measles cases be during the Trump Administration?
66%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$961 vol
Bid 63¢ · Ask 68¢
- At least 2000
What will the average number of measles cases be during the Trump Administration?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$29k vol
Bid 96¢ · Ask 97¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2029 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the average number of measles cases annually from 2025 to 2028 is at least 2000, then the market resolves to Yes.