Selected outcome
Above 150
97%
Above 150 · 97%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 27, 9:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- IMF PortWatch (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Above 170
Will there be more than 170 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?
90%
Open · ~$4,946 24h · ~$13k vol
Bid 89¢ · Ask 91¢
- Above 160
Will there be more than 160 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?
94%
Open · ~$4,425 24h · ~$19k vol
Bid 93¢ · Ask 94¢
- Above 185
Will there be more than 185 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?
57%
Open · ~$1,224 24h · ~$3,254 vol
Bid 57¢ · Ask 58¢
- Above 150
Will there be more than 150 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?
97%
Open · ~$960 24h · ~$9,296 vol
Bid 96¢ · Ask 97¢
- Above 180
Will there be more than 180 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?
73%
Open · ~$697 24h · ~$4,502 vol
Bid 72¢ · Ask 73¢
- Above 195
Will there be more than 195 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?
38%
Open · ~$636 24h · ~$1,498 vol
Bid 37¢ · Ask 39¢
- Above 190
Will there be more than 190 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?
42%
Open · ~$326 24h · ~$2,156 vol
Bid 41¢ · Ask 42¢
- Above 220
Will there be more than 220 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?
6%
Open · ~$256 24h · ~$589 vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 6¢
- Above 200
Will there be more than 200 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?
27%
Open · ~$203 24h · ~$707 vol
Bid 26¢ · Ask 27¢
- Above 210
Will there be more than 210 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?
9%
Open · ~$142 24h · ~$827 vol
Bid 8¢ · Ask 9¢
- Above 205
Will there be more than 205 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?
19%
Open · ~$67 24h · ~$254 vol
Bid 18¢ · Ask 19¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 27, 9:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 150 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.