Best LLM at the end of the decade?

Openone winner

Dec 31, 2029 at 10:00 AM ET

Selected outcome

Inception

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Scheduled end: Dec 31, 2029 ET
Resolution source: Artificial Analysis (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

Google
Best LLM at the end of the decade?
25%
Open · ~$37 24h · ~$104 vol
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xAI
Best LLM at the end of the decade?
8%
Open · ~$5 24h · ~$6 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 12¢
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Anthropic
Best LLM at the end of the decade?
16%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$32 vol
Bid 12¢ · Ask 19¢
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OpenAI
Best LLM at the end of the decade?
13%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$1 vol
Bid 9¢ · Ask 17¢
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Alibaba
Best LLM at the end of the decade?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6¢
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Amazon
Best LLM at the end of the decade?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$70 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 5¢
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Arcee AI
Best LLM at the end of the decade?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
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Baidu
Best LLM at the end of the decade?
No quote
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ByteDance
Best LLM at the end of the decade?
No quote
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China Mobile
Best LLM at the end of the decade?
No quote
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Cohere
Best LLM at the end of the decade?
No quote
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DeepSeek
Best LLM at the end of the decade?
No quote
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Essential AI
Best LLM at the end of the decade?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$328 vol
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Huawei
Best LLM at the end of the decade?
No quote
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Institute of Foundation Models
Best LLM at the end of the decade?
No quote
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InclusionAI
Best LLM at the end of the decade?
No quote
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Inception
Best LLM at the end of the decade?
No quote
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LG AI Research
Best LLM at the end of the decade?
No quote
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LongCat
Best LLM at the end of the decade?
No quote
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Meta
Best LLM at the end of the decade?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 9¢
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MiniMax
Best LLM at the end of the decade?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
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Moonshot
Best LLM at the end of the decade?
No quote
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Microsoft
Best LLM at the end of the decade?
No quote
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Mistral
Best LLM at the end of the decade?
No quote
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NVIDIA
Best LLM at the end of the decade?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6¢
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Prime Intellect
Best LLM at the end of the decade?
No quote
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Reflection AI
Best LLM at the end of the decade?
No quote
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Safe Superintelligence
Best LLM at the end of the decade?
No quote
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StepFun
Best LLM at the end of the decade?
No quote
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Tencent
Best LLM at the end of the decade?
No quote
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Thinking Machines
Best LLM at the end of the decade?
No quote
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Upstage
Best LLM at the end of the decade?
No quote
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Xiaomi
Best LLM at the end of the decade?
No quote
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Z AI
Best LLM at the end of the decade?
No quote
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Event statistics

24h vol: ~$44
Volume: ~$541
Liquidity: —
Open int.: 906 contracts

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end: Dec 31, 2029 ET
Resolution source: Artificial Analysis (opens in a new tab)

Trading
Closed
In review
Resolved

Rules text

If Inception has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Tech

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