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Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?

Openone winner

Before Jan 3, 2027

Selected outcome

Texas

last

1%

Texas · 1%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Jan 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source
Federal Election Commission (opens in a new tab)

Price

Loading price history.

Markets

  • Maine

    Will Maine be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    37%

    Open · ~$370 24h · ~$981 vol

    Bid 36¢ · Ask 37¢

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  • Minnesota

    Will Minnesota be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    4%

    Open · ~$12 24h · ~$100 vol

    Bid 3¢ · Ask 4¢

    Open full market view →
  • Alaska

    Will Alaska be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    1%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$147 vol

    last

    Ask 2¢

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  • Colorado

    Will Colorado be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    1%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$181 vol

    last

    Ask 1¢

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  • Delaware

    Will Delaware be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    1%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$168 vol

    last

    Ask 1¢

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  • Florida

    Will Florida be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    36%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3,444 vol

    Bid 33¢ · Ask 38¢

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  • Georgia

    Will Georgia be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    1%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$96 vol

    last

    Ask 1¢

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  • Iowa

    Will Iowa be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    1%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$46 vol

    last

    Ask 1¢

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  • Illinois

    Will Illinois be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    1%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$113 vol

    last

    Ask 1¢

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  • Massachusetts

    Will Massachusetts be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    1%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$113 vol

    last

    Ask 1¢

    Open full market view →
  • Michigan

    Will Michigan be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    8%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$114 vol

    Bid 7¢ · Ask 8¢

    Open full market view →
  • North Carolina

    Will North Carolina be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    1%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$64 vol

    last

    Ask 1¢

    Open full market view →
  • New Hampshire

    Will New Hampshire be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$12 vol

    Ask 1¢

    Open full market view →
  • New Jersey

    Will New Jersey be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    1%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$115 vol

    last

    Ask 1¢

    Open full market view →
  • New Mexico

    Will New Mexico be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    1%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$120 vol

    last

    Ask 1¢

    Open full market view →
  • Ohio

    Will Ohio be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    8%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$183 vol

    Bid 7¢ · Ask 8¢

    Open full market view →
  • Oregon

    Will Oregon be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    1%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$120 vol

    last

    Ask 1¢

    Open full market view →
  • Rhode Island

    Will Rhode Island be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    1%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$67 vol

    last

    Ask 1¢

    Open full market view →
  • Texas

    Will Texas be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    1%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$113 vol

    last

    Ask 1¢

    Open full market view →
  • Virginia

    Will Virginia be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?

    1%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$115 vol

    last

    Ask 1¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$382
Volume
~$6,410
Liquidity
—
Open int.
134k contracts

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end
Jan 3, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If Texas is the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.

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