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Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned?

Open

Pardon timeline

Selected outcome

Before Jan 10, 2027

60%

Before Jan 10, 2027 · 60%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Jan 10, 2027 ET
Resolution source
the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (opens in a new tab)

Price

Loading price history.

Markets

Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$5,122
Liquidity
—
Open int.
518 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Jan 10, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If Jair Bolsonaro receives a pardon, clemency, or substantially equivalent official act of legal forgiveness from a competent authority before Jan 10, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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