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Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory

Openone winner

On Oct 25, 2026

Selected outcome

Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-3%

38%

Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-3% · 38%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 25, 2027 ET
Resolution source
Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) (opens in a new tab)

Price

Loading price history.

Markets

  • Flávio Bolsonaro, 3-6%

    Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be between 3% and 6%?

    30%

    Open · ~$1,978 24h · ~$7,308 vol

    Bid 29¢ · Ask 31¢

    Open full market view →
  • Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-3%

    Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be between 0% and 3%?

    38%

    Open · ~$1,861 24h · ~$13k vol

    Bid 36¢ · Ask 40¢

    Open full market view →
  • Lula da Silva, 0-3%

    Will the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be between 0% and 3%?

    21%

    Open · ~$689 24h · ~$3,286 vol

    Bid 20¢ · Ask 21¢

    Open full market view →
  • Flávio Bolsonaro, 6-9%

    Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be between 6% and 9%?

    10%

    Open · ~$64 24h · ~$2,051 vol

    Bid 9¢ · Ask 10¢

    Open full market view →
  • Lula da Silva, 3-6%

    Will the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be between 3% and 6%?

    3%

    Open · ~$24 24h · ~$209 vol

    Bid 2¢ · Ask 3¢

    Open full market view →
  • Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥9%

    Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be at least 9%?

    3%

    Open · ~$23 24h · ~$520 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 5¢

    Open full market view →
  • Lula da Silva, 6-9%

    Will the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be between 6% and 9%?

    1%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$28 vol

    last

    Ask 1¢

    Open full market view →
  • Lula da Silva, ≥9%

    Will the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be at least 9%?

    1%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$28 vol

    last

    Ask 1¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$4,638
Volume
~$26k
Liquidity
—
Open int.
79k contracts

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end
Oct 25, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved

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