Selected outcome
Lula da Silva, 6-9%
last
1%
Lula da Silva, 6-9% · 1%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 25, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Flávio Bolsonaro, 3-6%
Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be between 3% and 6%?
30%
Open · ~$1,978 24h · ~$7,308 vol
Bid 29¢ · Ask 31¢
- Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-3%
Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be between 0% and 3%?
38%
Open · ~$1,861 24h · ~$13k vol
Bid 36¢ · Ask 40¢
- Lula da Silva, 0-3%
Will the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be between 0% and 3%?
21%
Open · ~$689 24h · ~$3,286 vol
Bid 20¢ · Ask 21¢
- Flávio Bolsonaro, 6-9%
Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be between 6% and 9%?
10%
Open · ~$64 24h · ~$2,051 vol
Bid 9¢ · Ask 10¢
- Lula da Silva, 3-6%
Will the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be between 3% and 6%?
3%
Open · ~$24 24h · ~$209 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 3¢
- Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥9%
Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be at least 9%?
3%
Open · ~$23 24h · ~$520 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 5¢
- Lula da Silva, 6-9%
Will the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be between 6% and 9%?
1%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$28 vol
last
Ask 1¢
- Lula da Silva, ≥9%
Will the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be at least 9%?
1%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$28 vol
last
Ask 1¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 25, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is within 6% to 9%, then the market resolves to Yes.