← Kalshi

Brazil presidential runoff: Lula margin of victory

Open

On Oct 25, 2026

Selected outcome

Lula da Silva, ≥1%

17%

Lula da Silva, ≥1% · 17%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 25, 2027 ET
Resolution source
Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) (opens in a new tab)

Price

Loading price history.

Markets

  • Lula da Silva, ≥1%

    Will the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff be at least 1%?

    17%

    Open · ~$127 24h · ~$1,781 vol

    Bid 15¢ · Ask 19¢

    Open full market view →
  • Lula da Silva, ≥3%

    Will the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff be at least 3%?

    5%

    Open · ~$10 24h · ~$76 vol

    Bid 4¢ · Ask 6¢

    Open full market view →
  • Lula da Silva, ≥5%

    Will the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff be at least 5%?

    5%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$52 vol

    Bid 2¢ · Ask 7¢

    Open full market view →
  • Lula da Silva, ≥7%

    Will the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff be at least 7%?

    1%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$293 vol

    last

    Ask 5¢

    Open full market view →
  • Lula da Silva, ≥9%

    Will the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff be at least 9%?

    2%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$9 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$138
Volume
~$2,212
Liquidity
—
Open int.
20k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Oct 25, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved

View on Kalshi