Selected outcome
Lula da Silva, ≥5%
5%
Lula da Silva, ≥5% · 5%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 25, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Lula da Silva, ≥1%
Will the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff be at least 1%?
17%
Open · ~$127 24h · ~$1,781 vol
Bid 15¢ · Ask 19¢
- Lula da Silva, ≥3%
Will the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff be at least 3%?
5%
Open · ~$10 24h · ~$76 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 6¢
- Lula da Silva, ≥5%
Will the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff be at least 5%?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$52 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 7¢
- Lula da Silva, ≥7%
Will the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff be at least 7%?
1%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$293 vol
last
Ask 5¢
- Lula da Silva, ≥9%
Will the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff be at least 9%?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$9 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 25, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff is at or above 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.