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Minas Gerais: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory (runoff)

Open

On Oct 25, 2026

Selected outcome

Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥9%

Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥9%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 25, 2027 ET
Resolution source
Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥9%

    Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff in the state of Minas Gerais be at least 9%?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Ask 68¢

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  • Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥8%

    Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff in the state of Minas Gerais be at least 8%?

    38%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 33¢ · Ask 43¢

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  • Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥1%

    Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff in the state of Minas Gerais be at least 1%?

    93%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$924 vol

    Bid 88¢ · Ask 98¢

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  • Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥10%

    Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff in the state of Minas Gerais be at least 10%?

    9%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$254 vol

    Bid 4¢ · Ask 14¢

    Open full market view →
  • Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥13%

    Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff in the state of Minas Gerais be at least 13%?

    5%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$54 vol

    Bid 2¢ · Ask 8¢

    Open full market view →
  • Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥16%

    Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff in the state of Minas Gerais be at least 16%?

    4%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢

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  • Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥4%

    Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff in the state of Minas Gerais be at least 4%?

    89%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,427 vol

    Bid 86¢ · Ask 91¢

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  • Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥7%

    Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff in the state of Minas Gerais be at least 7%?

    61%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,556 vol

    Bid 56¢ · Ask 65¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$4,215
Liquidity
—
Open int.
6,129 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Oct 25, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff in the state of Minas Gerais is at or above 9%, then the market resolves to Yes.

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