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Tocantins: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory (runoff)

Open

On Oct 25, 2026

Selected outcome

Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥7%

76%

Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥7% · 76%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 25, 2027 ET
Resolution source
Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥7%

    Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff in the state of Tocantins be at least 7%?

    76%

    Open · ~$303 24h · ~$339 vol

    Bid 74¢ · Ask 77¢

    Open full market view →
  • Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥13%

    Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff in the state of Tocantins be at least 13%?

    15%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$208 vol

    Bid 12¢ · Ask 18¢

    Open full market view →
  • Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥8%

    Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff in the state of Tocantins be at least 8%?

    59%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 54¢ · Ask 64¢

    Open full market view →
  • Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥1%

    Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff in the state of Tocantins be at least 1%?

    90%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$17k vol

    wide spread 17–90%

    Bid 17¢ · Ask 90¢

    Open full market view →
  • Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥10%

    Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff in the state of Tocantins be at least 10%?

    38%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,765 vol

    Bid 36¢ · Ask 39¢

    Open full market view →
  • Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥16%

    Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff in the state of Tocantins be at least 16%?

    4%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$88 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 7¢

    Open full market view →
  • Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥4%

    Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff in the state of Tocantins be at least 4%?

    89%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$400 vol

    Bid 86¢ · Ask 92¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$303
Volume
~$20k
Liquidity
—
Open int.
16k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Oct 25, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved

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