Selected outcome
Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥16%
4%
Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥16% · 4%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 25, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥7%
Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff in the state of Tocantins be at least 7%?
76%
Open · ~$303 24h · ~$339 vol
Bid 74¢ · Ask 77¢
- Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥13%
Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff in the state of Tocantins be at least 13%?
15%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$208 vol
Bid 12¢ · Ask 18¢
- Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥8%
Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff in the state of Tocantins be at least 8%?
59%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 54¢ · Ask 64¢
- Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥1%
Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff in the state of Tocantins be at least 1%?
90%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$17k vol
wide spread 17–90%
Bid 17¢ · Ask 90¢
- Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥10%
Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff in the state of Tocantins be at least 10%?
38%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,765 vol
Bid 36¢ · Ask 39¢
- Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥16%
Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff in the state of Tocantins be at least 16%?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$88 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 7¢
- Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥4%
Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff in the state of Tocantins be at least 4%?
89%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$400 vol
Bid 86¢ · Ask 92¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 25, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff in the state of Tocantins is at or above 16%, then the market resolves to Yes.