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Brazil presidential runoff: which countries will Flávio Bolsonaro win?

Open

On Oct 25, 2026

Selected outcome

Costa Rica

45%

Costa Rica · 45%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 25, 2027 ET
Resolution source
Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Chile

    Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the vote in Chile in the Brazil presidential runoff?

    34%

    Open · ~$130 24h · ~$462 vol

    Bid 30¢ · Ask 38¢

    Open full market view →
  • Uruguay

    Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the vote in Uruguay in the Brazil presidential runoff?

    30%

    Open · ~$88 24h · ~$377 vol

    Bid 25¢ · Ask 34¢

    Open full market view →
  • Costa Rica

    Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the vote in Costa Rica in the Brazil presidential runoff?

    45%

    Open · ~$5 24h · ~$112 vol

    Bid 40¢ · Ask 50¢

    Open full market view →
  • Colombia

    Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the vote in Colombia in the Brazil presidential runoff?

    71%

    Open · ~$1 24h · ~$1,929 vol

    Bid 66¢ · Ask 75¢

    Open full market view →
  • Mexico

    Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the vote in Mexico in the Brazil presidential runoff?

    76%

    Open · ~$1 24h · ~$2,760 vol

    Bid 72¢ · Ask 80¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$224
Volume
~$5,640
Liquidity
—
Open int.
5,412 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Oct 25, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 1st place in Costa Rica (Brazilian voters abroad) in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.

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