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California permitted housing units in 2026

Open

2026

Selected outcome

Above 105,000

91%

Above 105,000 · 91%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Jan 27, 2027 ET
Resolution source
U.S. Census Bureau (opens in a new tab)

Price

Loading price history.

Markets

  • Above 115,000

    Will California’s total number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in 2026 be above 115,000?

    19%

    Open · ~$5 24h · ~$3,770 vol

    Bid 18¢ · Ask 19¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 100,000

    Will California’s total number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in 2026 be above 100,000?

    97%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$8,350 vol

    Bid 96¢ · Ask 97¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 105,000

    Will California’s total number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in 2026 be above 105,000?

    91%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5,437 vol

    Bid 90¢ · Ask 91¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 110,000

    Will California’s total number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in 2026 be above 110,000?

    61%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3,967 vol

    Bid 60¢ · Ask 61¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 120,000

    Will California’s total number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in 2026 be above 120,000?

    6%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$700 vol

    Bid 5¢ · Ask 6¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 125,000

    Will California’s total number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in 2026 be above 125,000?

    4%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$793 vol

    Bid 3¢ · Ask 4¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$5
Volume
~$23k
Liquidity
—
Open int.
21k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Jan 27, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If California’s total number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in calendar year 2026 is above 105,000, then the market resolves to Yes.

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